America's Drought of Political Will on Climate Change
By Naomi Wolf
Guardian (UK)
August 8, 2012
http://www.guardian.co.uk/commentisfree/2012/aug/08/america-drought-political-will-climate-change
As the US faces record drought and an Old Testament-
level pestilential heatwave in the midwest, American
environmental denialism may be starting to change. The
question is: is it too late?
America has led the world in climate change denial, a
phenomenon noted with amazement by Europeans, not to
mention thinking people around the world. Year after
year, the US has failed to sign global treaties or curb
emissions, even as our status as a source of a third of
the world's carbon emissions goes unchanged.
It is fairly well-known what has been behind that
climate change denial in America: vast sums pumped into
an ignorance industry by the oil and gas lobbies. Entire
thinktanks to obfuscate manmade climate change have been
funded by these interests, as have individual
congressmen and women. Entirely typical, for instance,
is Louisiana Representative John Fleming, whose
campaigns, according to blogger John Henry, accept about
$200,000 a year from oil and gas lobbyists, and who uses
his social media pages to deny global warming.
It is weird to live inside that US denial about climate
change. Last year, for example, as tropical storm Irene
approached New York, we duly boarded up windows, put in
emergency supplies, and heard endless alarming bulletins
from the mayor's office about which neighborhoods were
likely to be submerged if the tides surged – without
ever hearing from local officials or the media a word
connecting rising sea levels with manmade global
warming. All the more weird because New Yorkers weren't
writing off portions of their downtown neighborhoods to
overflowing seawater a century ago.
It is weird, too, to watch the leaves turn red earlier
and earlier in the fall in the American northeast and
have absolutely everyone say, "the weather is strange" –
yet never see mainstream media reflect any interest in
the connection between human industrial activity and
that strangeness. And this weather map shows how
widespread and extensive that extreme weather is in the US.
But could our denial be cracking, this summer, as, in
the heartland – that most iconic of American landscapes
– broiling temperatures injure humans and cook fish in
the water? This summer a crisis has occurred (though one
that, again, is seldom reported on in terms of our
outsize contribution to the disaster), as midwestern
farmers lost vast swaths of their corn crop to scalding
heat and drought. In the American unconscious of wishful
ignorance, this disaster and loss was to be borne, as
usual, by other people far away.
But we face some serious problems in rising out of our
torpor. In "Shifting Public Opinion on Climate Change:
An Empirical Assessment of Factors Influencing Concern
over Climate Change in the US, 2002–2010", John Wihbey
shows that Gallup surveys reveal Americans' level of
concern varying widely:
"In 2004, 26% of respondents said they worried "a
great deal" about the issue; in 2007 that number
rose to 41%; by 2010, it had fallen to 28%. This
variation comes despite consensus among scientists
about the underlying data patterns and virtual
unanimity of scientific opinion."
Wihbey and colleagues' study found that this fluctuation
was caused by, among other factors, political
polarization. In other words, when one party says global
warming is a crisis and the other says all that is
nonsense, and there is no cooperation between political
elites at both ends of the spectrum, the net result is
apathy.
"The two strongest effects on public concern are
Democratic congressional action statements and
Republican roll-call votes, which increase and
diminish public concern, respectively. This finding
points to the effect of [a] polarized political
elite that is emitting contrary cues, with resulting
(seemingly) contrary levels of public concern."
They found, ominously, that the level and quality of
good information in the general media at large had
little effect on people's levels of concern – indeed,
weather events themselves had little bearing on people's
levels of climate-related anxiety or interest. Only the
combination of media coverage and expressed alarm from
political leaders bumped up public concern.
With the oil and gas lobbies pumping money into Congress
to blunt any professed concern among the political
class, that motivating union of genuine concern and
honest messaging can scarcely be relied on. The authors
conclude, dispiritedly:
"Given the vested economic interests reflected in
this polarization, it seems doubtful that any
communication process focused on persuading
individuals will have much impact."
I spent part of this summer looking at glaciers in
Alaska; in Juneau, in Tongass National Forest, park
rangers expect that a glacier there will withdraw, from
effects of anticipated climate change, in 50 years. So,
the federal government is planning for the effects of
manmade climate change, even as the White House and US
Congress remain paralysed from doing anything to arrest
the warming: the very definition of denial. If we don't
snap out of this stasis of stupidity, nothing can change
for good.
Sunday, August 12, 2012
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1 comment:
Oh but just give it a couple of months. The election happens in November, a month when it can be snowing in many parts of the USA. By the time its snowing, concerns over gloabl warming will be low again. All of those people who express concern about GW now during the summer months, will not be concerned at all. Now THAT is change you can beleive in.
cheers
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