Monday, December 5, 2011

Fannie, Freddie and the Housing Bust

Washington Post Helps Senator Corker Spread the Big Lie on Fannie and Freddie

Dean Baker

CEPR

November 25, 2011

www.cepr.net/index.php/blogs/beat-the-press/washington-post-helps-senator-corker-spread-the-big-lie-on-fannie-and-freddie

 

 When a newspaper abandons journalistic standards in its

news pages one hardly expects to find much commitment to

truth on its opinion pages. Therefore it is not

surprising that the Washington Post opened its pages

http://www.washingtonpost.com/opinions/moving-beyond-freddie-and-fannie/2011/11/22/gIQAUyPhtN_story.html

to Tennessee Senator Bob Corker to spread the story that

government support for homeownership through Fannie Mae

and Freddie Mac was the cause of the housing bubble.

 

Corker tells readers:

 

      "During the boom years, the GSEs' affordable

      housing goals were coupled with a Congress and

      an administration that saw only the bright side

      of rapidly increasing homeownership rates. That

      meant that as housing prices began to spike, it

      was impossible to make credit slightly more

      expensive. Without countercyclical market

      mechanisms able to operate naturally, as housing

      prices went higher, the GSEs simply raced each

      other to lower guarantee fees, out of fear that

      they might lose business from mortgage

      originators such as Countrywide and Washington

      Mutual. The result, we now know, was a

      government-induced bubble followed by a painful

      collapse."

 

Okay, maybe Senator Corker really never heard of

Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, Lehman Brothers, Bears

Stearns, and the other Wall Street investment banks. He

may not know that they were making tens of billions of

dollars during these years securitizing the worst of the

sub-prime mortgages, without any government guarantees

except their implicit too-big-to-fail insurance. News

may take a long time to reach Tennessee.

 

But surely the Post knows about privately issued

mortgage-backed securities and their role in the bubble.

It even published a very good column

http://www.washingtonpost.com/business/what-caused-the-financial-crisis-the-big-lie-goes-viral/2011/10/31/gIQAXlSOqM_story.html?tid=pm_pop

by Barry Ritholz a couple of weeks back outlining the

story. So why does it allow Corker to publish something

that it knows is not true? Would it print an opinion

column blaming President Bush for actually doing the

World Trade Center bombing?

 

There is a ton of data showing that the blame-Fannie-

and-Freddie story is nonsense, but my favorite entry in

this debate is a contemporaneous assessment from that

well-known promulgator of left-wing propaganda, Moody's:

 

      "Freddie Mac has long played a central role

      (shared with Fannie Mae) in the secondary

      mortgage market. In recent years, both housing

      GSEs [Government Sponsored Enterprises] have

      been losing share within the overall market due

      to the shifting nature of consumer preferences

      towards adjustable-rate loans and other hybrid

      products. For the first half of 2006, Fannie Mae

      and Freddie Mac captured about 44 percent of

      total origination volume - up from a 41 percent

      share in 2005, but down from a 59 percent share

      in 2003. Moody's would be concerned if Freddie

      Mac's market share (i.e., mortgage portfolio

      plus securities as a percentage of conforming

      and non-conforming origination), which ranged

      between 18 and 23 percent between 1999 and the

      first half of 2006, declined below 15 percent.

      To buttress its market share, Freddie Mac has

      increased its purchases of private label

      securities. Moody's notes that these purchases

      contribute to profitability, affordable housing

      goals, and market share in the short-term, but

      offer minimal benefit from a franchise building

      perspective."  (Moody's, "Federal Home Loan

      Mortgage Corporation, Analysis

      http://www.freddiemac.com/investors/pdffiles/fm2006_moodys.pdf

      " December 2006, p.8)

 

So here we have Moody's expressing concern about the

ongoing viability of Freddie Mac because they are losing

out in the subprime and Alt-A market to the investment

bank. This is its assessment at the time, before it was

apparent (to them) that this market was a disaster in

the works.

 

When someone claims that the bubble was the fault of

Fannie and Freddie, they are either ignorant or lying.

And, I am saying this as someone who was harshly

critical of both at the time and would happy to see the

euthanasia of these mortgage giants-at least if the

alternative is to see them returned to some sort of

public-private hybrid.

 

Both companies deserve tons of blame, they could have

possibly stopped the bubble cold if either of them had

done something radical like announcing that they would

require appraisals of rental values and only buy

mortgages with a purchase price below some prce to rent

ratio (e.g. 18 to 1). However, their failure to be heros

does not make them the prime villians. That would be the

Wall Street boys, end of story.

 

Btw, if anyone is interested in knowing what happens to

a public agency committed to homeownership in the middle

of a housing bubble, that is not run for profit, then

they should look to the Federal Housing Authority (FHA).

While far from perfect, the FHA did not get caught up in

the irrational exuberance of the bubble years. Its

market share fell from around 10 percent in the late

1990s to 2 percent in 2005.

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